EP12 科學理論的逼近值(上集)

這一集討論Daniel Lakens所認為的理論逼真性，主要內容來自2017年6月的網誌。逼真性是評估理論預測有多接近真實世界的指標，Lakens認為這是追求理論預測能力最大化的科學實在論者，所依賴的進程指標。探討逼真性是為了開啟兩位大師Paul Meehl與Deborah Mayo著作的閱讀旅程，歡迎有興趣的聽眾一起加入。

本集推薦閱讀~

主題文章：Verisimilitude, Belief, and Progress in Psychological Science

http://daniellakens.blogspot.com/2017/06/verisimilitude-belief-and-progress-in.html

Paul Meehl的逼真性指標倡議：

Meehl, P. E. (1990). Corroboration and verisimilitude: Against Lakatos’ “sheer leap of faith.” Working Paper, MCPS-90-01). Minneapolis: University of Minnesota, Center for Philosophy of Science. Retrieved from http://meehl.umn.edu/sites/g/files/pua1696/f/146corroborationverisimilitude.pdf

Mayo, D. G. (2018). Statistical inference as severe testing: How to get beyond the statistics wars. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1017/9781107286184

Daniel Lakens的逼真性延觀點的伸著作：

Orben, A., & Lakens, D. (2019). Crud (Re)defined. Retrieved from https://psyarxiv.com/96dpy/

Lakens, D. (2019). The Value of Preregistration for Psychological Science: A Conceptual Analysis. Retrieved from https://psyarxiv.com/jbh4w/

Lakens, D. (2019). The Value of Preregistration for Psychological Science: A Conceptual Analysis. Retrieved from https://psyarxiv.com/jbh4w/

圖片來源： twitter @lakens

本集朗讀稿： https://osf.io/astb3/
本集錄音檔： https://osf.io/vg9xe/